The Chengriha regime receives a fatal blow from the United States
Since the Eastern bloc and BRICS countries rejected the Algerian regime, it has been suffering increasing isolation on several fronts:
Maghreb isolation in favor of Morocco,
African isolation in favor of Russia,
Mediterranean isolation in favor of France.
In this context, the Algerian regime turned to its last hope: attempting rapprochement with the United States. But this was done from a weak position, as the regime is suffering a deep and complex crisis resulting from thirty years of corruption, mismanagement, crisis-making, and repeated failures.
To win over Washington, the regime made several political concessions:
Granted AFRICOM more presence in Algeria,
Welcomed American military personnel,
Moved closer to Egypt and used its influence,
Accepted Egypt’s proposal to hand Gaza over to the Arab League,
Turned to Qatar to mediate with the U.S.
However, all these efforts failed. The U.S. position remains strategically aligned with Morocco, especially amid an ongoing political confrontation between Rabat and Algiers. This strategic alignment crushed any hopes the Algerian regime had of gaining external support to sustain its illusion of “stability.”
Algeria’s isolation deepened further after the U.S. imposed high tariffs on Algerian products while applying symbolic tariffs on Moroccan goods — a clear message that Washington considers Morocco a strategic ally and Algeria a rival.
Internally, Algeria faces a social explosion contained only through repression, state media propaganda, populist policies, and regime-loyal media figures who distort history.
The military regime, clinging to power and playing brinkmanship, has lost its international standing. Even the Russian Foreign Minister stated that it “has no position or influence.”
The setbacks are many:
Expelled from the BRICS group,
Marginalized in the Arab world,
Lost influence in Africa,
Intelligence cooperation with the Assad regime collapsed,
Lost influence in Syria after its rapprochement with Turkey,
Libya moved closer to Morocco,
Mauritania refused to align with the Algerian regime and sided with Morocco.
Today, the regime has only Tunisia left, while a looming major blow threatens its survival:
the potential collapse in oil and gas prices, which account for over 99% of state revenues, especially after the Ukraine war ends and a U.S.-Russia deal emerges in Saudi Arabia.
This looming economic crisis, combined with the ongoing political crisis since 2019, puts Algeria on the brink of collapse. The regime is now in a phase of political and economic “brain death,” and no slogans, military posturing, or imaginary projects like “Tebboune’s California in Adrar” can save it.
Today, Algeria faces a truth long avoided since 1992: the “military mafia” that seized control of the Defense Ministry and sabotaged the democratic process is now reaping the bitter fruits of three decades of political ignorance.
The end is near and inevitable.
Khalid Said.